Polymarket contracts price less than a 1% chance of President Donald Trump resigning today as traders position ahead of a 2 P.M. ET Oval Office announcement. Trump’s low approval rating and recent health speculation have fueled trading volume. The market rules frame why odds remain low, with trading flurry following online speculation about Trump’s health. VP J.D. Vance’s assertion of readiness to be President in case of an event regarding Trump adds to the speculation. The social media weekend Zeitgeist will be resolved by the announcement, with millions paid out to those betting on the outcome through Polymarket prediction markets.

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